The Future

The junta claimed the emergency relief is over because it has nothing to give, or it must be the short coming of its generosity. Whilst it’s ignoring the reality, and denying wider aid flow to protect its internal reputation, it simply will not allow the Burmese people the taste of the care of the international community. As confirmed information cannot reach to the wider society, apart from rumours which maintains rampant hatred toward the junta, it seems it can control the military under its command despite the effects of Cyclone Nargis and the contempt of the generals are clear - yet to penetrates into the military(?).

Amid political game played by the junta and some other countries, the UN has avoided its responsibility to rescue the victims through the bamboo walls and traps. Huge expectation fell short as the Security Council has done nothing and largely silent even though it’s like a lion to an old mouse-the junta. When will this lion be freed from being shackled in a political cage automatically without its enthusiastic effort, for the peoples who have been waiting for it to stop yawning aloud and get up and solve the plagues? Probably it’s the responsibility of cats that have been so active but clearly smaller than the mouses themselves.

We should support, thus, any forceful distribution of aid supplies to the untouched area but they must come with plastic packing against wet condition. We should regret French ship left the area - despite its loads of aid supplies might have reached to some victims.

We don’t know what the future holds but we know if the victims do not get supplies, they will be in trouble. Whilst the people of Durfur die and whilst Mugabe receiving salutes, the junta of Burma is certainly believing in itself that it will survive at least for now – delicately testing through the international community. In the world of humanity and rules, the rule-less are allowed to become the legends of inhumanity – systematically.

It seems the ASEAN is doing its bid by reaching out to the Burmese people. But they have been ignored for decades. The ASEAN denied the voice of the people. It gave the junta all intensives to sustain militarism. It helped suppressing humanity and developments. These happened within its policy of non-intervention but… One thing that is completely clear is ASEAN will not change – it can buy all embarrassments from the junta to sell itself.

Everywhere in the third world, poverty and the problems related to poverty are widespread. We will be unfair if we ask all attention for ourselves. But Burma has potential to develop and sustain itself with developments. It’s a crime and inhumane to be denying us from this. It’s unfair to be blocking our way to achieving normality. It is the most unfair to side with the culprits that exploit the people through such enormous suppressions for only advantages only for themselves. It is inhumane to be allowing this happening for decades. It is the most inhumane to protect these culprits – as a protégé of an organization.

We also expected the UN to intervene and get rid of the junta once and forever. We expected the US and some allies would come in and do the same thing. The presence of warships near the delta perhaps made the way to the agreement between Mr. Ban and the junta. But it doesn’t make the world to fall in love with intervention – that needs to start without supports in order to get such supports. It’s a risky business politically to invade Burma as we can expect the condemnation from certain countries and certain organizations. But the majority of Burmese people need it – not just the democratic activists. The people need it because they have no life under this junta and militarism; or why would the junta need such referendum if it had the supports it needs?

I can suggest the first pace of invasion can take place from the south and break Burma half and keep it like that a few months until the military loses morale – this can happen because the soldiers themselves need to get rid of the suppressed and they need shelter to do this that the ally forces will be the shelter. The allies can maintain half of Burma for such a short period with ease.

The ally forces can maintain logistic lines by sea that Belu-Kyon in the Mon State should be the base for air forces. The junta has weak navy and no affective air forces. Sanlween River and Sittown River will be the frontline of the first pace invasion that KNU and other organizations based nearby can play a role. And the Irrawaddy River will lead to the rest of the country. Once the junta has no income, from gas exploitation and fishery, it won’t have much to fight with – but the income from this can be allocated to future government that needs to gain trust and reliability.

As the military has difficulty to maintain its supplies without relying on civil population and regional countries, the resistance and counter invasion will not be strong. During the occupying Belu-Kyon and Saninsari Strait, as the first pace of invasion, there would be little resistance – from here, the rest of Burma is possible to fall.

The second pace should go on as the conditions allow. By then, the Napyidaw should have become dust if the ally forces have significant advantage in air power. The trail of the top generals must not be lost. There should be a condition if they want to surrender. The surrendering of the soldiers should be encouraged and information should reach everywhere quickly.

My sight and vision for the future doesn’t go far enough in this writing; but I believe this can be the foundation.

Once the victory is reached and the dream for freedom comes true, the critics of the invasion will go quiet. We will certainly need the allies’ forces for a few years inside Burma to keep the lawlessness down. Actually, the Burmese people don’t care whatever the supporters of the junta have to say.

And there must be a thanks-giving day created and celebrated for centuries.