All human beings are born free and equal in dignity and rights. They are endowed with reason and conscience and should act towards one another in a spirit of brotherhood.
(Article 1 of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights in Burmese)
No one shall be subjected to arbitrary arrest, detention or exile.
Those who have the kindness of benefit for others
For the sake of living beings, do not relax their powers.
Though these holy beings bear a heavy burden,
They never put it down and dwell in discouragement.
Burma is known as a golden land made of several ranges (or ‘Yoma’ in Burmese) where thousands of tribal memories, wisdoms, religions, cultures and beauties of plants and animals dwell. The rivers, all of them are indeed important to the people and other existences, snake through these beautiful mountainous regions and flow from the north to the south where Indian Ocean is. The peoples, Burma has 103 ethnics, all of them used to be really generous and all they knew was to give.
Since the modern day’s dictators have systematically destroyed, now the golden land is famous for its narcotic trades, refugees, migrant workers and various atrocities and sufferings.
One day, we’ll be free again and the land will be again famous for its beauty.
The National Convention of the junta should be an example - nobody, especially the NLD, can say anything even though knowing it is a sham. Likewise, the referendum will be done in similar conditions - the truth is people do not accept the junta but they will have to accept the result alleging them that they had voted for the constitution which they would never do in reality.
In 1990 election, the people could surprise the military because it was unprecedented election and the junta hadn't learnt the mind of the people. Now everything is opposite. We won't get a fair referendum. Or people wouldn't be able to have a good look of what they're going to vote for. Most people will have to rely on the advice of the thugs - I believe.
Also the NLD won't get a place to try the junta in 2010 election. Two years must be enough to make NLD not to be ready for next election. Even if the junta allowed it to participate, the police and the thugs can make it not to be ready. We can imagine this. Many of the NLD candidates could be arrested for various reasons right before the election as the NLD's MPs elected in the 1990s were arrested. Even now, the junta has been ignoring the UNSC's call - to release all political prisoners.
We don't have to wait and see what we know. This is the job of the international community, the UN and the media - not ours. Even though the world can calculate the tricks of the junta, they have to wait and see. And we can predict too but what for are we going to wait and see - our defeat?
And believe me - China will not join our side no matter what. ASEAN would play some diplomatic game I guess but this cannot be to favour our side. In regional political game, we must completely understand we're on our own and unless we're cleaver and get above the junta somehow, no regional country can do anything. India seems to play a better game for democracy but it only started when the saffron revolution happened. For democratic change, we have to completely understand that China government won't give a hand - unless it has no other option.
China won't try for our unity as it never did and it doesn't care if we fell apart. It's wrong to assume China worries if Burmese politics would affect its internal politics too. There was saffron revolution in Burma; there was nothing, but economic activities, in China. But now China has a country in the region under its wing. It wants more countries under its wings to make sure India, Japan and the west at bay. Its political power is also up to how it can control the international community or many countries. The west cannot resist the Beijing offers and thus, also its influences. But both India and Japan, I guess, must know what certainly will favour them. Whatever China claims, it won't give up its advantages. And all Burmese activists should know that democracy in Burma is not important to China - nor to ASEAN (even if a few countries, Indonesia or the Philippines, like to see a change).
If you'd like to argue for China, then you have to ask, why doesn't China do something significant in UNSC but still blocking Burma issue? Unless China threatens it wouldn't veto again against the attempt of the international community, the junta would certainly hear this and would do for a sincere change with open compromise. Already, the junta has been preparing for another show with magician tricks.
We all expected that we'd be able to argue against the NC once it's finished. But nothing happened and the majority activists have been silent. The problem is we don't have anything ready, such as a draft constitution that is seen and understood by the UN and international leaders, to fight against the NC. We were unprepared when the saffron revolution occurred. I don't believe our political leaders will be ready for anything by 2010. It is generally physical at the grassroots level; it is ideological, clear vision, trustworthiness, decisiveness, strong leadership, and international relation on the top however.
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